How will your favorite NFL team do this year? See all of our predictions for the 2016 season » To go with our 2016 NFL predictions, FiveThirtyEight is previewing each division. Here, we look at the perpetual disaster that is the NFC East. At this time last year, my colleague Walt Hickey and I mocked Washington’s chances of winning the NFC East. Oops. Defying the 4 percent division odds that our Elo ratings gave them in the preseason, the Suing Snyders won their final four regular-season games to capture one of the weakest divisions in recent memory (before promptly losing by 17 points in their first playoff game). The big question for 2016 is whether the team can capitalize again on the weakness of what Elo considers the NFC’s worst division and become the East’s first repeat winner since 2004.By most accounts, Washington had a productive offseason, adding All-Pro cornerback Josh Norman and using the franchise tag to re-sign quarterback Kirk Cousins to a reasonable make-good deal. Now the team’s fortunes might hinge on whether Cousins can repeat a 2015 performance that was easily the best of his career. On the one hand, Cousins’s track record heading into last season was subpar at best. On the other, three of his four most similar passers last season were Drew Brees, Joe Montana and Jim Kelly. (The other was Jeff George.) If Cousins can prove that he belongs in the same paragraph as that trio, Washington could have a stranglehold on the East. But things are rarely so easy in this division. Elo ratings suggest that it’s the most wide open in all of football, with Washington holding by far the worst division odds (29 percent) of any division favorite in the NFL.1Also, the standard deviations of NFC East teams’ preseason Elo ratings and division winning percentages were the lowest of any division in football. At 27 percent, the Philadelphia Eagles are right behind Washington. The tumultuous reign of Chip Kelly is over — for better or for worse — and Philly regained some measure of normalcy in an offseason spent undoing many of Kelly’s personnel gaffes: GM Howie Roseman did a good job of rebuilding the franchise for the future, particularly with a recent trade that jettisoned maligned QB Sam Bradford for draft picks. But Roseman’s roster shuffling left rookie Carson Wentz as the team’s opening day starter. Without much of a safety net beneath Wentz on the depth chart, his inexperience could mean that Elo — which doesn’t directly account for personnel changes — is overrating the Eagles.If so, the New York Giants will be there to fill the void. They, too, will be operating under a new coach (for the first time since 2003). Ben McAdoo takes over a team that last year featured good special-teams play and an efficient passing offense led by Eli Manning. The 2015 Giants’ main problem was a leaky defense — third-worst in the NFL — and the team took steps in the offseason to address that flaw, though it didn’t come cheap. Manning is getting older but is still effective, so if those roster moves end up working on D, the Giants could ride a favorable schedule to their first division crown in five years.The Dallas Cowboys should also benefit from soft scheduling — Elo ranks their slate eighth-easiest in the NFL — but Tony Romo’s preseason injury might negate that edge. The Cowboys have been here before, pressing inadequate QBs into action with Romo on the sidelines. This time, they’re rolling with Dak Prescott, one of the lowest-drafted Week 1 rookie starters in NFL history. (The alternative is accomplished butt-fumbler Mark Sanchez.) And even if Dallas does somehow improve on last year’s dismal showing through the air, the team has holes on defense that were only partially addressed in the offseason. No. 4 overall draft pick Ezekiel Elliott may instantly run wild behind the Cowboys’ tremendous offensive line, but without Romo, the team may win even fewer than the seven games Elo projects for it.If we’ve learned one thing from this division in recent years, however, it’s to expect the unexpected. (Washington’s rise last season was the norm in a division that’s changed hands in each of the past 11 seasons.) The NFC East probably won’t be pretty in 2016, but it could once again be the most competitive division in the NFL.VIDEO: How one spurned Rams fan found a new team
During a Nike-sponsored event in Manila, NBA superstar Lebron James visited the Philippines for the first time. Lebron participated in an exhibition scrimmage between Gilas Pilipinas, The Philippines national basketball team. The four-time NBA most valuable player came off the bench wearing a jersey to ball with the Filipino players. James sunk a couple of deep 3’s, laid down a monster jam and assisted many other shots. But in the last moments of the game, James missed the game-tying lay-up causing his team to lose.James’ excuse for missing that point blank lay-up, his “jersey was too damn small.”“The reason I missed those last two shots is because my jersey is too damn small, so forgive me,” said James, who also thrilled the crowd by throwing signed basketballs into the stands.
9Xander BogaertsBOS.53636.5 An MVP candidate can always use more team successModeled probability of a league WAR leader winning the MVP award, based on his gap over the No. 2 player in WAR and on the deficit in winning percentage between the teams of the two players 4Justin VerlanderHOU✓.645>996.8 WAR Lead-.200-.180-.150-.130-.100-.080-.050-.030 +0.5027%31%36%40%45%50%55%59% WAR through games on Sept. 4, 2019.Source: Baseball-Reference.com, FanGraphs 6Lance LynnTEX✓.486<16.8 8Marcus SemienOAK.583796.5 +2.503338424752576266 +3.003540444954596368 10George SpringerHOU.645>996.3 5Mike MinorTEX✓.486<16.8 +3.503741465156616569 The AL MVP race has a lot going onTop 10 players in the 2019 American League by wins above replacement, plus team record and playoff odds (according to the FiveThirtyEight model) RkPlayerTeamPitcher?Team WPctPlayoff OddsWAR/162 +1.503034394449535863 7Mookie BettsBOS.53636.6 3Matt ChapmanOAK.583796.9 Many of the other elite performers on this list are matching the mold Trout has fit all too often: great player, not-so-great team. Texas’s Mike Minor and Lance Lynn have each had unexpectedly outstanding seasons, but the Rangers are below .500 — and again, pitchers are usually undervalued in MVP voting anyway. Boston has two top-line candidates in defending MVP right fielder Mookie Betts and shortstop Xander Bogaerts (plus a third if you count third baseman Rafael Devers, who ranks 12th in AL WAR), but the champs have almost no chance of making the postseason. The best of the A’s duo, Chapman, is on pace to run nearly 3 full WAR behind Trout by year’s end. And Houston has hoarded enough elite individual performances to potentially dilute each player’s MVP case, leaving Bregman as just one of many Astros who could claim credit for the team’s blistering 104-win pace this season.Perhaps all of this is why Trout is such an overwhelming favorite in the betting odds for the award. As of Sept. 2, the money line on Trout winning MVP was -1000, which implies a 90.9 percent chance of taking home the hardware.5Before adjusting for the bookmakers’ “take” on each bet. (Running second in the odds, with a 12.5 percent implied probability, was actually DJ LeMahieu of the Yankees, who ranks only 14th in the league in WAR, followed by Bregman at 9.1 percent.)Seldom in the entire history of baseball would voters consider the best player on a 74-win team — even a player as great as Trout — worthy of the game’s top individual honor. But in a season when so many other top players are either also toiling on bad teams or facing vote-splitting amongst star teammates, Trout appears to be the choice regardless of whether you prefer the “best” or “most valuable” player as your MVP.Check out our latest MLB predictions. 1Mike TroutLAA.461<1%9.7 2Alex BregmanHOU.645>997.9 Mike Trout’s WAR as of Sept. 4, prorated over 162 games, was 1.9 WAR ahead of No. 2 Alex Bregman, and Bregman’s team is +.184 ahead of Trout’s in winning percentage.Source: Baseball-Reference.com, FanGraphs No sport loves parsing out the “best player” vs. “most valuable” argument in MVP debates more than baseball. Sure, the NBA hasn’t given its MVP to a player on a nonplayoff team since Kareem Abdul-Jabbar in 1976. But the best basketball players exert so much more influence on the game than their baseball counterparts that it’s difficult to have individual success without the team coming along for the ride. For MLB players, however, we frequently see good — and even historically great — seasons on bad teams. That creates a perfect recipe for all those endless debates about what “value” really means.Will it happen again this year? Some of the ingredients are there in the American League. AL wins above replacement1Using our JEFFBAGWELL metric to combine Baseball-Reference.com and FanGraphs WAR figures. leader Mike Trout is tracking for 9.7 WAR (prorated to 162 team games), which would once again rank among the top 100 individual campaigns by a batter since 1901. (He’s already had three of those in his eight full MLB seasons, and he came extraordinarily close to a fourth in 2013.) But his Los Angeles Angels are, once again, lousy. Our predictions think they’ll finish 20 games out of the playoff race, with a lowly 74-88 record.But before we dig in for one more round of online MVP bickering, another factor should come into play: This year’s AL MVP landscape is weird. There’s so much else going on, Trout could very well avoid too much friction along his path to putting a third Kenesaw Mountain Landis Award on his mantle.First, how big is Trout’s edge in individual value? The gap between his WAR and that of Houston Astros third baseman Alex Bregman, who ranks second in the AL, is 1.9 wins if prorated over 162 games. (That’s basically an entire season’s worth of value from an average player!) Limiting to cases in which the top two in WAR were both position players, the only league leader since 2002 with a wider gap came in the 2012 AL, when Trout himself was 2.5 wins ahead of No. 2 Robinson Cano. (Detroit’s Miguel Cabrera famously took home the MVP instead after winning the Triple Crown.) About three-quarters of WAR leaders in the modern MVP award era2Since 1931. lead the league by a smaller margin than Trout is on pace to beat Bregman by.Historically speaking, though, Trout’s MVP case would be better served if he were on a team with a slightly better record, even if his personal stats were worse. To examine this, I built a model3Using a Lasso classification regression on data since 1995. predicting a league WAR leader’s chances of winning the MVP based on his differentials (relative to the No. 2 player) in both WAR and team winning percentage.4I also accounted for whether the player was a pitcher — which significantly downgrades MVP odds after holding WAR constant — and whether the season came since WAR hit the big time as an MVP metric in 2012, which makes a WAR leader more likely to win MVP. According to the model, Trout would have better MVP odds than he currently does — with a 1.9-WAR lead on a .461 winning-percentage team — if his WAR lead got trimmed to a half-win but his team won just three or four more ballgames: +2.003236414550556065 +1.002933374247525661 (It’s worth noting that this effect is more descriptive than causal — we don’t know how Trout, or any other player, would play on a different team alongside better teammates. But for the purposes of illustration, it’s clear that MVP voters are traditionally very responsive to players on better teams, even if they have a much smaller WAR lead than Trout currently has over Bregman.)In general, MVP voters have long tended to smile more on players with solid stats on winning teams than players with dominant numbers amidst a string of defeats. Only seven modern-era MVP winners were on teams with a losing record: Giancarlo Stanton (2017), Trout (2016), Alex Rodriguez (2003), Cal Ripken Jr. (1991), Andre Dawson (1987) and Ernie Banks (1958 and 1959). And among those, only three played for a team whose record was as bad as the current Angels’ is: Trout in 2016, Rodriguez in 2003 and Ripken in 1991. Similar to his MVP bid in 2016, another Trout win would be a rare victory for great players on bad teams — and another sign that voters are redefining the way they make that distinction between the “most valuable” and “best” players.But Trout might also get some help from just how scattershot the competition is in this year’s AL MVP race. Aside from Bregman and fellow Astros Justin Verlander and George Springer, Oakland’s Matt Chapman and Marcus Semien are the only other members of the AL’s top 10 in WAR on a team with any kind of playoff odds whatsoever. WPCT Deficit
Related Items:haitian, illegal, marine police Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, 17 Mar 2015 – An interception in the wee hours of the morning by the Marine Police and Immigration Department brought in 97 males and 18 females – all from Haiti – who are now in the Detention Center. The Coastal Radar spotted the illegal sloop, had authorities alerted and by 1:30am the 115 Haitians were being tugged into the South Dock harbour by officers. Magnetic Media has learned that the capture went without violence; all 115 Haitians and Officers are on land safely. Thousands of Haitian mark Flag Day differently in TCI for 2016 Recommended for you Bahamas PM warns “Price Gouging is a criminal offense” Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Haitian Flag 213 Years old now
ALERT # 2 ON POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY THURSDAY 12TH SEPTEMBER, 2019 AT 9 PM EDT The Luxury of Grace Bay in Down Town Provo Recommended for you Electricity Cost of Service Study among the big agenda items at September 11 Cabinet meeting Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppTurks and Caicos, March 8, 2017 – Providenciales – An investigation is now launched into the informal complaint says TCI Hospitals in light of the TripAdvisor post by a guest who claims treatment lacked empathy at the facility after she was attacked by a robber while out jogging on Monday morning.PR Executive with the hospitals, Nikira John last night issued statement for the InterHealth Canada hospitals which said: “TCI Hospital is aware of the unfortunate report posted via Trip Advisor by a robbery victim expressing dissatisfaction with the level of service provided at Cheshire Hall Medical Centre. We value feedback from our patients to help us improve our service. Clinical staff members will be reminded to be more responsive to victims of crime as these types of cases escalate.”The hospital said it is prepared to put in place corrective measures for better service and apologized to woman for “the overall experience in Turks and Caicos Islands.”#MagneticMediaNews Related Items:#magneticmedianews
Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp#Bahamas, October 11, 2017 – East End, Grand Bahama – In officially opening the 45th Annual Conch Cracking Festival in McLean’s Town, during the National Heroes Day Holiday, October 9, 2017 Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Finance, and Member of Parliament for East Grand Bahama, the Hon. K. Peter Turnquest remarked that places like McLean’s Town remain an ecological dream – a paradise by many standards.“Therefore, I want to encourage you to enjoy the beauty of these communities and the surrounding cays,” Deputy Prime Minister Turnquest told the hundreds of participants at the annual festival, which was held at McLean’s Town All-Age school.The event not only featured an array of Bahamian dishes made from conch, but offered a variety of other Bahamian-made dishes, desserts and drinks, as well as the sounds of Bahamian music throughout the day. The highlight of the festival was the conch-cracking competition, in which locals as well as visitors were invited to participate. Competitions included how quickly one could extract a conch from its shell, a conch eating competition, and a conch cleaning competition.During his opening and welcome address, DPM Turnquest noted that because McLean’s Town and many communities within the East End area are so far away from the City of Freeport, not that many people bother to make the long trek to visit those communities.He said this was both a blessing and a curse. “It’s a blessing because it has allowed this community to pretty much stay pristine and genuine – a true reflection of Bahamian culture here on Grand Bahama. It’s a curse because it does not expose as often as we like what is so special and unique about McLean’s Town, Rocky Creek, and the Cays.“I want to particularly welcome and invite our guests – from abroad and from Nassau and other Family Islands – to not only enjoy the activities and the food here at this festival, but to take time out to enjoy the environment that surrounds you here today.”DPM Turnquest pointed out that each of the islands within The Bahamas is unique in its own special way, even though Bahamians all share a general culture. He pointed out that if one went from one island to another or, in some cases, from one settlement to another it would be easy to realize that Bahamians are a diverse group of people with diverse cultural customs in the way they cook, the way they dress, and the way they speak.“I want to encourage that inter-island tourism, particularly among our own citizens, but also among our visitors from abroad; and don’t think that because you’ve been to Grand Bahama that you’ve experienced it all,” added Mr. Turnquest. “I can assure you that this is only but a taste of our 700 islands. So, I want you to think about coming back and getting an opportunity to experience what each of our islands has to offer.”The East End Member of Parliament said that the 45th Conch Cracking Festival was a celebration of the original event, which distinguishes the community of McLean’s Town as well as celebrates its history as a fishing and conching village, where the people of the community obtained their livelihood from the sea.“That’s why I’m so happy that the chairman of this committee and members of his team have continued this great tradition, [and] even in the midst of great odds and discouraging events at times, continue to press on to ensure that this tradition lives on and continues to grow,” he said.By: Andrew Coakley (BIS)Photo captions:Header photo: Deputy Prime Minister, Minister of Finance and Member of Parliament for East Grand Bahama, the Hon. K. Peter Turnquest officially opened the 45th Annual Conch Cracking Festival at McLean’s Town All Age School on Monday, October 9, 2017 — part of National Heroes Day celebrations. (BIS Photo/Andrew Coakley)Insert: Deputy Prime Minister, the Hon. K. Peter Turnquest talks with some of the locals and visitors who attended the Conch Cracking Festival on Monday, October 9, 2017 on the school grounds of McLean’s Town All Age School. Following his official address to open the festival, the Deputy Prime Minister took time to visit all of the stalls at the event and chat with the participants. (BIS Photo/Andrew Coakley) Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Related Items:
Danny Murphy has tipped former England team-mate, Sol Campbell, to do well after he signed an 18-month deal to become Macclesfield manager on Tuesday.Campbell was unveiled as the new Macclesfield manager on Tuesday, as he signed an 18-month contract, and Murphy believes that he is the right man to push Macclesfield in the right direction, as they are just four points from safety in League Two.“He’s got to try something different and he’s got a strong belief in himself,” Murphy told Sky Sports.Cascarino praises Campbell Manuel R. Medina – August 17, 2019 Sol Campbell left Macclesfield Town on Thursday, but the Arsenal legend believes he managed to do a great job at the club.“I remember in England squads where I sat down and talked to him a few times, and he’s a thoughtful guy. He’s very into the tactical side, the mentality of players.“Sometimes it takes something different for players to refocus or change their mentality and when you’re at the bottom, Sol has probably looked at it as nothing to lose.“If he turns it round, he looks like a miracle worker.”
Categories: Local San Diego News Tags: Crime FacebookTwitter Updated: 5:58 PM KUSI Newsroom January 4, 2018 KUSI Newsroom, Posted: January 4, 2018 East Village man accused of killing husband pleads not guilty to murder charge Left: Terry Ray Benson, 27. Right: 28-year-old James HearnSAN DIEGO (KUSI) — An East Village resident accused of killing his husband, an active-duty Navy man, at their downtown apartment on New Year’s Day, pleaded not guilty Thursday to a murder charge.Terry Ray Benson, 27, was ordered held on $1 million bail in the death of 28-year-old James Hearn.San Diego police said Benson allegedly stabbed Hearn at their residence in the 600 block of 14th Street shortly before 3:30 a.m. Monday.Before collapsing in a fifth-floor hallway, the victim was able to alert a neighbor, who made a 911 call, Lt. Todd Griffin said.Hearn, who worked at Naval Medical Center San Diego in Balboa Park, died at the scene, despite the efforts of patrol officers and paramedics to keep him alive with CPR.The motive for the violence remains unknown, according to Griffin.Prior to the emergency call, police received no reports of an argument or other type of disturbance at the couple’s apartment near Petco Park on the night Hearn died. Benson faces 25 years to life in prison if convicted.The lieutenant said he did not know how long the suspect and victim had been married.Judge Maureen Hallahan scheduled a bail review/status conference for Jan. 17.
Categories: Health, Local San Diego News FacebookTwitter KUSI Newsroom, August 27, 2019 SAN DIEGO (KUSI) – UC San Diego Health announced Tuesday that its surgeons completed Southern California’s first kidney transplant from a deceased donor with HIV to a recipient infected with the virus.UCSD is taking part in a national clinical trial of organ transplants for HIV patients. Such transplants were illegal in the U.S. until 2013, when Congress passed the HIV Organ Policy Equity Act, which allows for the donation of kidneys and livers from one HIV patient to another.UCSD doctors said they expect the kidney recipient to make a full recovery from the procedure, which was done earlier this month.Donor organ shortages are constant and affect HIV patients even more acutely due to longer wait times and a higher likelihood of dying before a donated organ is available, according to UCSD. More than 113,000 Americans are currently in need of an organ transplant.“Patients often wait more than 10 years in California for a deceased donor kidney transplant, and 13 people die nationally each day waiting,” said Dr. Kristin Mekeel, UCSD Health’s chief of transplant surgery. “By expanding donation to donors with HIV, we can get more patients transplanted — sooner — with healthy, functioning kidneys.”The kidney transplant clinical trial, which began last year and includes Johns Hopkins University and 15 other medical centers around the country, will include more than 300 organ transplants to HIV patients. A second clinical trial for liver transplants to HIV patients launched earlier this year.Both trials are currently recruiting and accepting potential organ recipients, according to UCSD.“The overall goals of both trials are to assess the safety of using such organ donations and ultimately increase the number of organ transplants performed in the U.S.” said Saima Aslam, an associate professor of medicine at UCSD.“This trial will also provide a new biorepository of tissue and blood samples to fuel future studies investigating HIV persistence and pathogenesis, and provide an unprecedented opportunity for persons living with HIV to register as organ donors,” Aslam said. UCSD Health Announces First Kidney Transplant Between HIV Patients KUSI Newsroom Posted: August 27, 2019